Here is the latest North Coast Salmon Update. Highlights;
Area 4 (Skeena River)
The pre-season total Skeena sockeye return estimate is below average with a pre-season return forecast point estimate of 1.28 million (50% probability) based on the sibling model. Sockeye migration past Tyee continues to be variable, with a total estimated escapement of 1.35M sockeye. With an estimated 94.5% of the run having passed Tyee by August 15th, based on average run timing, and a total estimated Area 4 harvest of 127,000 sockeye, the current total return to Canada estimate increased to 1.55 million.
Test fishing results from Tyee indicate a downward trend in escapement over the past week. Based on average run timing, approximately 93% of the total Skeena return should have passed Tyee into the Skeena. The current TRTC estimate (50% prob.) for Skeena sockeye is approximately 1.53 M as of Sunday, August 14th. Inputting this into the allocation model results in a 31K allocation for SNs, which will be exceeded by the current allocation of ~33.6K, and an overage of ~10K for the GN fleet. As such, no further opportunities are anticipated at this time. Given the current trend in abundance, DFO will continue to monitor Tyee escapement and make future commercial management decisions accordingly.
Seines participated in a sockeye ITQ fishery this past week, with a total quota of 33,614 sockeye available for harvest. The fishery was open from Thursday to Monday. Total harvest is still being evaluated.
1330 Steelhead released in the Area 4 Gillnet fisheries.